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Lucio Blanco Pitlo III

Lucio Blanco Pitlo III

Lucio Blanco Pitlo III is president of the Philippine Association for Chinese Studies and research fellow at the Asia-Pacific Pathways to Progress Foundation.
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Manila’s ‘assertive transparency’ strategy is touted as a model for managing maritime disputes but it diminishes key economic opportunities. As Chinese investment pours into other Southeast Asian countries, the Philippines must reduce geopolitical risks without acquiescing to Beijing.

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Frayed cross-strait ties and the gulf between Beijing and Washington over Taiwan present hurdles in Asean’s attempt to play a constructive role in promoting dialogue. Unlike major powers like the US, the grouping is more reluctant to upset its big neighbour and largest trade partner.

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By keeping all the major actors engaged and invested, while embedding itself in global supply chains, Vietnam is growing its regional importance and strengthening its strategic autonomy.

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The Philippines has been absent from recent China-organised meetings such as the third belt and road forum, a sign bilateral ties have turned worrying in a short time.

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As the Muslim world takes up the Palestinian cause, Israel’s ally the US is seen as biased. China, meanwhile, has avoided apportioning blame and reiterated support for a two-state solution – fraught with its own difficulties.

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It’s unclear if the former Philippine president’s trip had official blessing, but it was undoubtedly a goodwill mission at a time of heightened South China Sea tensions, and as his successor readies his second-ever State of the Nation Address.

Extended military deployments in Asia and the pursuit of arms deals with several regional countries are demonstrating France’s desire to play a greater role in the Indo-Pacific.

The tripartite exercises in the South China Sea presage the renaissance of the US-led Asia-Pacific alliance system, this time featuring not only the traditional hub-and-spoke system but also spoke-to-spoke arrangements.

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The scale and context of this year’s Balikatan exercises reflect a shift in geopolitical concerns, in line with the Philippines’ growing role in regional security.

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Whether deliberate or by chance, former Taiwanese leader Ma Ying-jeou’s historic visit to the mainland could temper Beijing’s response to Tsai Ing-wen’s stopovers in the US.

Enhanced Defence Cooperation Agreement due to be renewed for second 10-year lease, allowing US military to access nine Philippine sites, up from current five.

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Timing of the ruling is ‘too much of a coincidence’, coming soon after the Philippine president returned from a state visit to Beijing, a legal expert says.

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Nomination of Jaime FlorCruz, former CNN Beijing Bureau Chief and long-time China resident may help Ferdinand Marcos Jnr shape a more informed policy towards the Philippines largest trade partner.

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Belt and road investments suffered contractions due to disruptions brought on by the pandemic, but funding for projects in Southeast Asia rose in 2020.

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Chinese interference and Manila’s inability to attract big oil players have hindered attempts to exploit energy resources in the West Philippine Sea.

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Advancing defence ties with Manila’s treaty ally, but avoiding antagonising its largest trade partner, will be a difficult balancing act for Bongbong Marcos.

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