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LettersUAE’s Opec exit reflects a complex world

Readers discuss the UAE’s decision to leave the oil cartel, and a Vietnamese leader’s choice to travel twice on China’s high-speed trains

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A commercial vessel is seen off the coast of Dubai on April 20. Photo: AFP
Letters
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The United Arab Emirates’ decision to withdraw from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries effective May 1 has an immediate and practical explanation. Hemmed in by production quotas that cap output well below the UAE’s stated ambition of 5 million barrels per day by 2027, and operating in a wartime environment where Strait of Hormuz disruptions have already constrained exports, Abu Dhabi apparently concluded that the timing minimised collateral damage to fellow members while maximising its own strategic flexibility. The UAE’s energy minister said as much directly.

Yet to read the decision as purely commercial would be incomplete. It takes place against a broader reconfiguration of global power that deserves attention.

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For decades, the United States benefited from a system in which oil trade, financial flows and security guarantees were tightly linked and denominated in dollars. That arrangement is now under genuine pressure.

Since the freezing of Russian sovereign assets in 2022, many countries have questioned whether dollar-denominated holdings are politically neutral. Central banks have diversified reserves, increased gold holdings and explored alternative settlement mechanisms.

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The UAE’s accession to the Brics grouping as a full member in 2024 reflects this wider hedging instinct – one shared across much of the Global South – even as Abu Dhabi has been careful to frame its membership in terms of balanced diplomacy rather than as a break with the West.

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