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China’s wary private sector takes wait-and-see attitude after Beijing pledges ‘unwavering support’

  • China’s top leaders devoted large parts of their central economic work conference readout to pledge ‘unwavering support’ for the private economy
  • But reaction from entrepreneurs has been tepid and analysts say authorities must immediately take action to revive confidence in the private sector

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Growth momentum in the private sector has slowed significantly during the pandemic and as a result of ideological debates in recent years. Photo: Bloomberg
Frank Tangin BeijingandMia Nulimaimaitiin Hong Kong

Despite a flurry of recent promises from Beijing, entrepreneurs have been left guessing about how much support the private sector can actually count on – and whether the government will go so far as to address long-running concerns about unfair competition with state firms.

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China’s top leaders devoted large parts of their central economic work conference readout earlier this month to pledge “unwavering support” for the private economy, which accounts for more than 80 per cent of urban jobs and contributes to over 60 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP).

Analysts say authorities must immediately act on the pledges before they ring hollow. The rapid spread of Covid-19 in China following the abandonment of zero-Covid has added urgency, with many contact-intensive businesses facing a potentially ruinous stress test in the coming months.

“Despite the strong signal sent out from the [central economic work conference], reaction was pretty weak … The main reason is because they want to see how many substantial measures will be rolled out,” said Mao Zhenhua, co-head of Renmin University’s institute of economic research.

The year-end promises from the government come amid predictions of mounting challenges in 2023, with analysts tipping a global recession as the effects of high inflation and interest rates are felt.

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Although China’s outlook has brightened following the pivot from zero-Covid, few expect anything less than a “painful and bumpy” road ahead to stabilise the economy, employment and price levels.
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