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Citigroup sees ‘confidence signals’ in Hong Kong IPOs amid backlog, bond market optimism

A bounce in convertible bond offerings implies underlying optimism in equity upside, which Citigroup sees as a ‘confidence signal’ for IPO market

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‘We are in the early stages of the cyclical recovery,’ Fleming says. ‘When investors are making money and getting alpha, the life cycle will start.’ Photo: Edmond So
Aileen Chuang
Hong Kong’s initial public offering (IPO) market is set to revive amid growing signs of recovery, including investor confidence embedded in the convertible bond market and a large pool of listing candidates in the pipeline, according to global top arranger Citigroup.

Those signs include a rebound in the US IPO market, stability in China’s macroeconomic data, optimism in the equity-linked bond market and a narrowing of valuation expectations between buyers and sellers, said James Fleming, London-based global co-head of equity capital markets.

“We are in the early stages of the cyclical recovery,” he said in an interview in Hong Kong on Monday. “We are heading in the right direction. The backlog is very big.”

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Citigroup ranked first in the league table for global IPO and Asia-Pacific equity offerings’ in the first eight months of this year, according to Bloomberg data, topping rivals including JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. Its recent deals in Asia included Prudential’s US$2.4 billion equity offering and sponsorship of the IPOs of China Resources Mixc, Onewo and Leap Motors.

‘I’m very confident in the Hong Kong and China issuance outlook, but I’m patient as well,’ says James Fleming, global co-head of equity capital markets at Citigroup. Photo: Edmond So
‘I’m very confident in the Hong Kong and China issuance outlook, but I’m patient as well,’ says James Fleming, global co-head of equity capital markets at Citigroup. Photo: Edmond So
Hong Kong’s IPO market has been in the doldrums since Chinese authorities infamously scuttled Ant Group’s jumbo IPO in November 2020, followed by a crackdown on the tech sector amid data security and geopolitical risks. Once the world’s top IPO venue, Hong Kong slipped to 13th in the first half this year as deals shrank in size and frequency.
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