Is Sara Duterte’s lead for Philippines’ 2028 presidential race in danger?
Two pollsters say the vice-president is vulnerable in the key regions of Metro Manila and the group of provinces known as ‘Balance Luzon’
But two prominent pollsters say her lead is not impregnable.
According to Dr Ranjit Rye, founding president of OCTA Research, and Ronnie Holmes, president of Pulse Asia Research Inc, Duterte-Carpio’s vulnerability lies in Metro Manila and the provinces outside the capital commonly grouped by pollsters as “Balance Luzon”.
Together, the two regions account for half of the nation’s more than 68 million registered voters, they say.
Both political scientists told This Week in Asia that the two regions shared two important characteristics: a large number of undecided voters and signs that Duterte-Carpio’s ratings were declining there.
