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This Week in AsiaPolitics

Japan’s Takaichi faces uphill task in lower house election as opposition unites

Takaichi’s LDP is expected to lose millions of votes as Komeito allies with the CDP after ending its coalition with the ruling party

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Souvenirs featuring a photo of Japan’s Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi are seen at a gift shop in Nara. Photo: AFP
Julian Ryall
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s bid to strengthen her slim parliamentary majority through a widely expected snap election has grown riskier after the country’s largest opposition party struck an alliance with a former ruling coalition partner.

The new alliance between the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDP) and Komeito, announced on Thursday, complicates Takaichi’s bet that she will be able to significantly build on her razor-thin majority in the lower house of parliament.

Komeito has now emerged as a potential political kingmaker ahead of the widely expected snap lower house election. The lay Buddhist-backed party is shifting allegiances just three months after ending its long-standing coalition with the ruling Liberal Democratic Party, citing irreconcilable differences with the prime minister.
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On January 23, the opening day of the Diet, Takaichi is expected to announce the dissolution of the House of Representatives, with polling likely to take place on February 8 or February 15, according to media reports.

Takaichi has told the LDP of her plan to dissolve parliament for an election soon, and would reveal more details on such a move on Monday, according to Hirofumi Yoshimura, co-leader of the Japan Innovation Party, which is part of the ruling coalition.

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While the prime minister is riding high in opinion polls and has largely controlled the national narrative since taking office, some analysts warn that pressing ahead without Komeito’s backing could prove costly.

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