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Saudi Arabia
This Week in AsiaPolitics

US allies Saudi Arabia, UAE risk a split in Middle East over competing visions

A ‘new order’ is emerging as Abu Dhabi-backed separatist allies clash with pro-Riyadh governments in the region

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Southern Transitional Council  security personnel guard a checkpoint in Aden, Yemen, on Monday. Photo: Reuters
Tom Hussain
Washington’s allies in the Middle East and beyond are facing the prospects of joining rival blocs in alignment with the different visions of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates following a rare clash between the two countries over war-torn Yemen.

The Saudi bombing of an arms shipment reportedly provided by the UAE to separatists in southern Yemen last week has exposed the two Arab heavyweights’ divergent foreign policy approaches in the strategically important Red Sea and Horn of Africa, according to analysts.

An emergence of two competing camps led by Saudi Arabia and the UAE could undermine US efforts to tap its two long-standing allies as part of a new Middle Eastern security and economic architecture, following the weakening of the Iran-led Axis of Resistance during the Israel-Gaza war.
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According to Kristian Coates Ulrichsen, a Middle East fellow at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy, a major division appears to be emerging between some states that aim to anchor regional stability through “functioning” countries and others that view the existing state system as “chronically weak” and hence require their intervention through proxy groups.

For the latter, Ulrichsen cited the UAE’s support for armed non-state groups in Yemen and Sudan and the breakaway Libyan National Army (LNA) regime in eastern Libya, and Israel’s recent recognition of Somaliland as a new state bordering Somalia – the first country in the world to do so.
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“There now seems to be a fundamental misalignment between the Saudi and Emirati visions of regional order and willingness to take or tolerate geopolitical risk,” Ulrichsen told This Week In Asia.

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