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Pakistan-India trade ties: is there still room for revival after years of suspension?

  • Trade with India has been a major burden for the Pakistani business community, which has to import goods via other countries at higher prices
  • Analysts say Pakistan’s economy will gain from trade with India given its economic crises, but domestic and geopolitical considerations could stand in the way

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Women selling roasted corn wait for customers along the road in Karachi, Pakistan, on March 6. Photo: AFP
Recent remarks by Pakistan’s foreign affairs minister on “seriously” considering resuming trade with India have again drawn attention to the prolonged suspension of dialogue between the two neighbours since 2019, even as Islamabad later confirmed there would be no change to its economic policy.
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Pakistan’s Mohammad Ishaq Dar made the remarks at a London press conference last week following his participation in the Nuclear Energy Summit in Brussels. His statement marked the first indication of a potential shift in diplomacy towards New Delhi since the newly formed PML-N government assumed power in Islamabad, sidelining popular country leader Imran Khan.

Pakistan ceased trade with India after Delhi revoked the semi-autonomous status of Jammu and Kashmir in 2019, a disputed territory between both sides since independence from British colonial rule.
Pakistan’s Minister of Foreign Affairs Ishaq Dar delivers a speech during the Nuclear Energy Summit in Brussels on March 21. Photo: AFP
Pakistan’s Minister of Foreign Affairs Ishaq Dar delivers a speech during the Nuclear Energy Summit in Brussels on March 21. Photo: AFP

Ajay Bisaria, former Indian High Commissioner to Pakistan and author of the renowned book Anger Management: The Troubled Diplomatic Relationship between India and Pakistan, told This Week in Asia that the notion of reviving trade was not novel, driven by Pakistan’s dire economic conditions and a shift towards geoeconomics, prioritising economic strength over military power.

The former diplomat stressed: “Pakistan’s economy and, particularly, its textile and pharmaceutical sectors, stand to gain from trade with India given their dependence on raw materials from India.”

He said internal consultation on the issue was required from Pakistan, coupled with some quiet diplomacy with India so that the proposal would be on the table when a new government took office in Delhi in June.

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On Thursday, however, Pakistan’s foreign office spokeswoman Mumtaz Zahra Baloch denied the possibility of resuming trade with India. “Pakistan-India trade relations have been non-existent since 2019 … There is no change in Pakistan’s position on it,” Baloch said.

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