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US-China military clash a ‘real danger’ before November vote, warns ex-Australia PM Kevin Rudd

  • A collapse in diplomatic engagement between the two superpowers has heightened the risk of an incident escalating into a crisis, the former PM said
  • His remarks came in a wide-ranging talk he gave touching on the South China Sea, Taiwan, his successor’s failures and the dangers of severing China ties

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Collapsing US-China relations and rising nationalist impulses in both countries threaten future conflict, former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd has warned. Photo: Shutterstock
Former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd has warned of the growing risk of military conflict between China and the United States amid rising nationalism in both countries in the run-up to the US presidential election.
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Rudd, who led Australia from 2007-2010 and again for three months in 2013, said on Thursday that a build-up of Chinese and US forces in the South China Sea and Taiwan Strait raised the possibility of a “conflict through miscalculation and escalation” ahead of the November 3 vote.

“There’s a real danger that with a collapsing diplomatic relationship and an erosion of all forms of political capital between the two countries in their bilateral relationship, if you have an incident of a ship colliding with another ship, an aircraft colliding with another aircraft … then you have a crisis with an aircraft down or a ship as to what then happens,” Rudd said.

He made the remarks during an online event hosted by La Trobe University in Melbourne, titled “The China Challenge: Can a New Cold War be Avoided?”, which also featured Linda Jakobson, founding director of the China Matters think tank.

Former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd pictured in 2013. Photo: Reuters
Former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd pictured in 2013. Photo: Reuters
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Rudd warned that “nationalist impulses” could escalate a future crisis, “particularly in the several months leading up to the election when the politics of high nationalism are alive and well, both in Washington and Beijing”.

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