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Opinion | Mahathir’s last battle? Malaysia by-election set to test support for former PM’s new Pejuang party

  • The long-dominant Barisan Nasional is tipped to win Slim, but support for both it and Umno has been on a downward trajectory there for years
  • Mahathir Mohamad’s new party is also in the running – with its performance seen as a key test of the former PM’s lasting appeal among rural Malays

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Malaysia’s former Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad speaks during a press conference in Kuala Lumpur on August 7. Photo: EPA

On Saturday, the residents of Slim – a small, rural, Malay-majority constituency in the Malaysian state of Perak – will vote in a by-election.

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Ordinarily, such a poll would not be on most people’s radars, but strategists and analysts will eagerly scrutinise the results of this contest as both an indication of popular sentiment for the United Malays National Organisation (Umno) – the erstwhile dominant party in Malaysian politics – and for the debut of Malaysia’s newest party, Pejuang, the political vehicle of former prime minister Mahathir Mohamad.

The by-election will also be a test of the internal cohesion of the expanding Muafakat Nasional coalition – which began as a team-up between Umno and the conservative Islamic party PAS – as well as the Pakatan Harapan grouping that ruled the country from 2018 until its ousting earlier this year.

Electoral battleground

Perak is one of Malaysia’s largest, more diverse and politically important states – home to an estimated 1.2 million registered voters and 24 parliamentary seats. Since 2008, it has been an important electoral battleground, with the opposition securing the state government on two occasions, in 2008 and 2018.

Given its size, Perak has a substantial number of urban and semiurban seats – which proved fertile terrain for the Pakatan Harapan coalition in 2018’s general elections – as well as rural and agriculturally dependent constituencies that have tended to lean more towards PAS and the Barisan Nasional coalition, which ruled Malaysia for decades before its ousting on the national level by Pakatan Harapan in 2018.
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