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This Week in AsiaEconomics

India’s ‘dead economy’ growth hailed, but Trump’s tariffs pose risks

While the 7.8 per cent first-quarter growth is a positive sign, experts warn the impact of US tariffs could be felt later in the year

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Members of a trade association holding a poster of US President Donald Trump protest on Saturday against the recent tariff increases imposed by the US on India in New Delhi. Photo: AFP
Biman Mukherji
India’s stronger-than-expected economic growth of 7.8 per cent in the April–June quarter has been hailed by leaders as a resounding retort to US President Donald Trump’s claim that the country’s economy is “dead”, even as experts warn that retaliatory tariffs from Washington could weigh on the outlook.
Bilateral ties have plummeted recently after Trump enacted a 50 per cent import tariff on India last week, doubling a 25 per cent import tariff as a penalty for New Delhi’s purchase of sanctioned Russian oil – a move that the Indian government called “unfair, unreasonable and unjustified”.

Trump, whose administration once touted India as a key strategic partner, had offered an early signal of his new posture in July when he posted on Truth Social: “I don’t care what India does with Russia. They can take their dead economies down together, for all I care.”

A freight train carrying cargo containers rides along a railway track in Ajmer last month. India posted 7.8 per cent growth in the April–June quarter. Photo: TNS
A freight train carrying cargo containers rides along a railway track in Ajmer last month. India posted 7.8 per cent growth in the April–June quarter. Photo: TNS

India’s media wasted no time turning the GDP figures into a political counterpunch. The Economic Times ran the headline “India’s dead economy delivers GDP shock to Trump”, while business news outlet MoneyControl declared: “India answers Trump’s dead economy jibe with 7.8 per cent GDP growth”.

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Political and industry leaders too cheered the growth number.

Agriculture Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan said the GDP data showed that India was on a path to becoming developed and self-reliant, while Jyoti Vij, director general of the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry, noted that “the strong growth has come at a juncture when the country is facing significant global headwinds and will help boost business sentiments.”

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Experts said the latest economic reading was a positive sign, but warned that there would be an impact on the nation’s growth through the entire financial year as the US import tariffs would take time to unfold on Indian exports.

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