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After COP26 pledge, can Vietnam revive flagging wind, solar industries to transition to clean energy?

  • Vietnam’s solar energy sector had a strong growth spurt but policy delays are making investors nervous
  • China’s experience could offer lessons but Hanoi remains wary of involving Chinese investors in projects deemed crucial to national security

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A wind turbine is seen surrounded by solar panels at a wind farm in southern Vietnam’s Binh Thuan province. Photo: AFP
Until mid-2021, the number of proposed coal-fired power plants in Vietnam and Indonesia was second only to those in China and India. Vietnam was also considering increasing coal power capacity by 2030 in a draft development plan released in September.
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Yet at the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP26) in November, Vietnamese Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh made a surprise pledge to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.

All eyes are now on how this pledge to adopt a more extensive use of clean energy will materialise. Five years since Hanoi rolled out incentives for solar and wind energy generation – which led to both sources combined contributing about one-tenth of total electricity generation by the end of last year – the industry is now at a standstill.

Vietnam’s solar and wind power capacity, 2017-2021. Tap to enlarge
Vietnam’s solar and wind power capacity, 2017-2021. Tap to enlarge
Vietnam largely relies on hydropower, coal and natural gas to generate electricity. It imports some coal and will from this year import liquefied natural gas (LNG). It also imports electricity from Laos and China.

Vietnam’s electricity demand is only going to keep rising in the post-pandemic world, according to financial intelligence firm S&P Global’s Xizhou Zhou, who is vice-president of its gas, power and climate solutions unit. He estimates that this rise will average 5 per cent per year through 2030.

In 2017, the Vietnamese government introduced a feed-in tariff (FiT) for solar power projects and another for wind in 2018. A FiT is a policy tool to spur investment in renewable energy sources. It usually promises to buy the energy generated by small-scale suppliers at a rate above the market price within a specific period of time.

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