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US-China trade war: Opinion

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US-China trade war: Opinion
Breaking news and analysis on the US-China trade war, its history and timeline, and the impact on the global economy.
Illustration: Huy Truong
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In a year-long research across America, I hope to map where superpower friction ends, and where shared interest must begin.

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US levels AI sanctions threat as China models gain

Washington mulls penalties after Anthropic and OpenAI say Chinese tech firms are stealing intellectual property by distilling their frontier models.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. Photo: AP Photo
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The View | In Beijing, the US and China tiptoed around tech and critical minerals

Summit addressed the top and bottom layers – geopolitical framing and trade mechanics – but left the strategic middle layer largely implicit.

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Opinion | How the US and China can ensure their board of trade is effective

Both sides need to learn from past failures, agree on a mandate and appoint officials with the clout to push decisions.

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The future of the relationship is likely to be unscripted and messy at times, even full of friction, yet somehow maintaining a rhythm.

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2026 Xi-Trump summits

Open Questions | US ex-diplomat’s inside view on Trump-Xi summits

Former envoy in Beijing William Klein on US leader’s approach to foreign policy, tariffs, China weaponising rare earths and risks of Taiwan conflict.

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Editorial | China policy to stay on course despite delay to Xi-Trump summit

Although Trump is on the back foot and China may have the advantage, this will not affect Beijing’s consistent approach in dealing with the US.

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Opinion | China waits and watches as the US fights all its tigers at once

Far from freeing up resources to focus on China, Trump’s administration finds itself fighting fires on several fronts, sapping its resources.

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Security forces fire tear gas to disperse a protest against US and Israeli attacks on Iran, at a bridge leading to the fortified Green Zone where the US embassy is located, in Baghdad, Iraq, on March 2. Photo: AP
China trade

Open Questions | Abraham Newman on how world can resist US, China economic coercion

Threatening rivals’ economic choke points is nothing new, but Trump has politicised it, political scientist says. He suggests ways countries and companies can respond.

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Letters | Hong Kong’s economic comeback is the best answer to its critics

Readers discuss the renewed global interest in Hong Kong, and the British prime minister’s visit to China.

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Opinion | China has Trump 2.0 to thank for emerging stronger in tech and trade

As intense US-China competition becomes the new normal, pressure has strengthened China’s capacity to adapt rather than deter it from its long-term ambitions.

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United States

Opinion | Why Asia should be concerned about the US attack on Venezuela

Venezuela matters less as a case in itself than as a signal of how energy is being repositioned amid intensifying US-China competition.

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A man walks past a sculpture outside a building of Venezuela’s state oil company PDVSA in Caracas, Venezuela, on May 17, 2019. Photo: Reuters
Open Questions series

Open Questions | Amid US-China trade war truce, ex-diplomat preaches realism

Daniel Kritenbrink, once the top US diplomat for East Asia, doesn’t see a wider thaw in relations despite upcoming meetings between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping.

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Opinion | Mark 2025. It’s the year China became a peer power to America

China not only forced a trade war backdown, it displayed its hi-tech military might from the waters off Australia to the skies near Japan.

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Outside In | It’s an expensive Christmas for Americans thanks to Trump’s tariffs

It’s been years since the US president extolled the virtues of trade wars: how much longer before he recognises tariffs harm the US economy?

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China’s private sector

US lifts China sentiment, but tensions cloud outlook in Japan: report

Global confidence in China ticked higher in the third quarter, Morgan Stanley says, driven by US companies and policy support in Beijing.

Global business sentiment towards China improved in the third quarter of 2025. Photo: Xinhua
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Opinion | Trump can’t have it all: low prices, booming stocks, balanced trade

Trump wants to close the trade deficit while promising cheap goods and high asset prices. The cost? Devastating inflation or a market crash.

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US-China relations

Opinion | The bright side to US-China decoupling and global self-reliance drives

And despite opposing perspectives, it may reduce mutual dependence such as to assure a strategic peace of mind for both the West and China.

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Diplomacy

Opinion | As power balance tips to China, world needs a fairer financial system

China-led macro region will have to work on independence of monetary policy and partnerships in a fairer financial and trade framework.

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Illustration: Craig Stephens
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Opinion | As Russia advances and Trump retreats, China’s ascendancy is clear

Events in Busan and Pokrovsk show Beijing now occupying the position Nixon’s America once did in great power rivalry.

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US President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping at Gimhae Air Base, next to Gimhae International Airport in Busan, on October 30. Photo: AFP
US-China relations

Opinion | US national security focus throws a spanner in the workings of global trade

While attention to legitimate national security interests is justified, trade matters have traditionally been viewed as a parallel sphere.

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US-China relations

Opinion | In ‘soybean diplomacy’ with the US, China now holds the remote control

China, no longer reliant on US soybeans, has leverage: resuming purchases to calm tensions or cutting them when relations fray.

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Opinion | China will find its own modernisation path, not on US terms

The Trump presidency has exposed America’s flaws for the world to see. The rest of the world is adjusting, and will learn for now to get on without it.

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US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping talk as they leave after a bilateral meeting at Gimhae International Airport, on the sidelines of the APEC summit, in Busan, South Korea, on October 30. Photo: Reuters
US-China relations

Opinion | Given its rare earth vulnerability, US cannot risk all-out trade war

Washington must accept that it has missed its chance to contain China’s rise and focus on developing a US macro-region.

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Illustration: Craig Stephens
US-China relations

Opinion | China’s counter-attacks are giving Trump a taste of his own medicine

Beijing has stood firm, retaliated with the same measures used against China and masterfully delayed its countermeasures to maximise impact.

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US-China relations

Editorial | US-China pragmatism on display in proposed TikTok deal

By taking a very practical approach on the high-profile issue of TikTok, Beijing has pointed the way forward in bilateral ties.

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