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Shein eyes US$2 billion profit in 2025 despite Trump tariffs and French ban

The upbeat full-year outlook comes as the fast-fashion e-commerce giant works to retain investor confidence ahead of a long-delayed IPO

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Shein expects US$2 billion in profit this year despite the impact of US tariffs. Photo: Reuters
Shein Group has told investors that it is expecting a bumper US$2 billion in net income in 2025, after higher profit margins through price increases and cost-cutting helped overcome a drop in online traffic caused by US President Donald Trump’s punitive tariffs.

The Singapore-based e-commerce giant is also forecasting mid-teen percentage growth in sales, according to people familiar with the matter, who asked not to be identified as the targets are private.

The US$2 billion net income guidance for this year suggests profit could nearly double from the US$1.1 billion it reported last year. It builds on a strong first quarter when net income topped US$400 million and revenue jumped to nearly US$10 billion as US consumers rushed to buy its products before Trump dismantled the “de minimis” tax exemption for small parcels.

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The upbeat full-year outlook – issued in late August – comes as Shein works to retain investor confidence ahead of a long-delayed initial public offering (IPO), which remains clouded by uncertainty.

04:25

France suspends Shein webstore as retailer opens its first-ever physical shop in Paris

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The forecast is surprisingly rosy, given its business was expected to take a hit after the “de minimis” loophole was closed. It is unclear if one-off factors contributed to the number.

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But it appears that the company’s price increases have passed the tariff burden to shoppers, protecting its bottom line. Pulling back on aggressive advertising spending, a strategy made possible by rival Temu’s reticence in the US market for much of the summer, also boosted margins, one of the people said.

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