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Crypto rout set to deepen as Standard Chartered warns of further downside risks

Bank expects a ‘price capitulation in the next few months’ before recovering for the rest of the year

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A bitcoin ATM in San Rafael, California. Photo: Getty Images via AFP
Iris Dengin Shenzhen

As the cryptocurrency market faces mounting pressure, Standard Chartered on Thursday cut its forecast for bitcoin, flagging a further drop to US$50,000 before the world’s largest cryptocurrency stabilises.

The digital currency was trading at around US$66,300 at 1pm Hong Kong time on Friday, a decline of nearly 50 per cent from a historical high of US$126,000 in October. Ether slid slightly to US$1,940 at 1pm on Friday. The world’s second-largest digital token has lost 60 per cent of its value from a peak of US$4,900 in August.

The current downbeat sentiment contrasts with the momentum late last year, fuelled in part by expectations of a more crypto-friendly stance from the Trump administration.

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Geoffrey Kendrick, Standard Chartered’s global head of digital assets research, said that bitcoin could fall to as low as US$50,000 in the current downcycle before rebounding, while Ether could bottom out at around US$1,400.

The value of bitcoin has fallen sharply since reaching record highs last year. Photo: AFP
The value of bitcoin has fallen sharply since reaching record highs last year. Photo: AFP

“We expect further price capitulation in the next few months,” Kendrick said. “Once those lows have been reached, we expect a price recovery for the rest of the year.”

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