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US-China relations
OpinionWorld Opinion
Sophie Wushuang Yi

Opinion | With Trump on the rampage, does China have a strategic window?

Although the US president’s destabilising actions might seem like an opportunity for Beijing, it is likely to opt for strategic patience

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Illustration: Craig Stephens
The successful capture of Venezuela’s president, Nicolas Maduro, earlier this month was not merely a tactical achievement – it was a template. Within weeks, an unmistakable pattern has emerged: an aircraft carrier group redirecting towards the Middle East as protests engulfed Iran, European Nato allies scrambling to deploy troops to Greenland in response to Washington’s annexation rhetoric, and domestically, a rapidly expanded immigration enforcement apparatus patrolling American cities with military-grade equipment.

These developments raise questions: does this trajectory represent one president’s aberration, or structural pressures any American administration would eventually accommodate? And for Beijing specifically: what, if anything, should China do with this apparent strategic window?

The scope of American military operations has expanded dramatically. Strikes in Nigeria on December 25 – which US President Donald Trump called a “Christmas present” for terrorists – marked the first known direct US intervention in Africa’s most populous nation. Operation Hawkeye Strike in Syria has seen over 200 precision munitions fired against Islamic State targets since December.
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The USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group has begun moving towards the Persian Gulf. American forces are now operationally committed across Venezuela, Syria, Nigeria and Somalia, while military pressure mounts on Iran – straining the credibility of an administration that campaigned on ending foreign entanglements.

The Arctic spectacle illuminates an unprecedented Nato conundrum. Following a January 14 White House meeting – which Danish officials characterised as revealing a “fundamental disagreement” – France, Germany, Sweden, Norway, the Netherlands and Finland said they would dispatch military personnel to Greenland under Operation Arctic Endurance.

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Trump’s response was immediate: tariffs against Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands and Finland, escalating from 10 per cent on February 1 to 25 per cent on June 1.
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