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Hong Kong society
OpinionHong Kong Opinion
Paul Yip
Li Yang
Raymond Lap-Ming Tang
Paul Yip,Li YangandRaymond Lap-Ming Tang

Opinion | Hong Kong must end its ‘tale of two cities’ to thrive

Diversifying its economy and reforming its education system can help Hong Kong ensure its poorest aren’t left behind by AI and automation

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A worker climbs down a ladder on a cruise at Ocean Terminal in Tsim Sha Tsui, on April 20. Photo: Sun Yeung
A major challenge facing Hong Kong is how to address the problem of wide income disparities, which affect the overall well-being of the community. The arrival of artificial intelligence (AI) and its potentially adverse impact on middle-class jobs may further exacerbate inequality.

Since 1981, Hong Kong’s gross domestic product (GDP) per capita has increased over eightfold, affirming its status as a financial centre. However, low-income groups have not shared in the economic prosperity. In fact, over the past four decades, the rich-poor divide has remained unbridged and is widening.

Our research team examined four decades of census data using the Theil Index, a measure of income disparity where 0 is perfect equality and 1 represents a high degree of inequality. The Theil Index is helpful in looking at how much of the overall inequality stems from variations within a group and between groups.

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Our results reveal that determinants such as place of birth, gender, age and residence have a significantly less pronounced impact on income gaps between groups than one might expect. The contribution of the gender pay gap to overall income inequality decreased from 0.025 in 1981 to 0.009 in 2021, reflecting a trend towards equal pay.

During this period, more women entered the workforce. Meanwhile, the number of individuals arriving in Hong Kong with one-way permits reached 1.12 million, diversifying the population.

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The gap index between groups by place of birth declined from 0.043 to 0.006, indicating that workplace equal opportunity policies effectively reduced traditional inequality, with no significant income difference between non-locals and locals following the implementation of these policies. Our practice of supporting equal opportunity in employment seems to be working.
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