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Cathay Pacific
Opinion
SCMP Editorial

Editorial | Cathay Pacific must remain vigilant to navigate new turbulence

War in the Middle East is causing significant disruption, but a focus on regional routes can help ensure the airline’s solid recovery continues

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A Cathay Pacific plane stands at a gate at Hong Kong International Airport on January 25. Photo: dpa

Cathay Pacific Airways posting a third consecutive year of profits was welcome proof the Hong Kong flag carrier has stayed the course to rebuild a solid foundation after pandemic turbulence. After emerging from those dark financial clouds, it must now nimbly navigate the next economic storm – an increasingly unpredictable era of global volatility.

Net profit climbed 9.5 per cent to HK$10.82 billion (US$1.38 billion) in 2025, driven by the carrier’s 27 per cent surge in passenger numbers and a robust cargo sector fuelled by e-commerce. However, while announcing the results on Wednesday, Cathay Group chairman Patrick Healy warned of higher fuel surcharges stemming from the Middle East conflict, ongoing supply chain disruptions and inflated costs. Joint US-Israel strikes on Iran have disrupted air travel, oil exports and supply chains, prompting the airline group to cancel all flights to Dubai and Riyadh for March. Cathay and several other airlines based in the city have already announced plans to raise fuel surcharges.

While painful for travellers, the increases are understandable and route suspensions are a responsible prioritisation of safety. With further moves likely, carriers must be transparent with customers to maintain trust amid the uncertainty.

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The aviation industry faces many factors beyond corporate balance sheets. HK Express saw that in 2025, with a HK$996 million loss partly blamed on unfounded earthquake rumours in Japan as well as Pratt & Whitney engine issues and shifting traveller demands.

Cathay would be wise to look closer to home as passengers shy away from Middle Eastern routes. Demand for travel within Asia could soon hold opportunity, and doubling down on regional frequencies is a hedge against the bottlenecks of long-haul corridors. On the other hand, a potential turnaround in the conflict could quickly reopen Middle Eastern skies and require route planners to pivot on a moment’s notice.

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The forecast is not all stormy. The group plans to grow its capacity by 10 per cent in 2026 with new aircraft. Cathay’s prospects will fortify Hong Kong’s status as a premier international aviation hub as long as it can maintain the agility that set the stage for its recovery.

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