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Editorial | Silver lining in China’s ageing population shouldn’t be overlooked

Increase in life expectancy affirms Beijing’s commitment to boosting healthcare standards and presents economic opportunities

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Elderly people relax at a park in Fuyang in China’s Anhui province on October 9. Photo: CFOTO/Future Publishing via Getty Images
Amid concern about China’s ageing and shrinking population, a positive factor can be overlooked. Mainlanders are living longer. Average life expectancy hit a record 79 years in 2024, after achieving the goal of growing by 0.2 years annually during the 14th five-year plan. National Health Commission head Lei Haichao says that by the end of the 15th five-year plan in 2030, the country’s newborns should be expected to live an average of 80 years, in line with President Xi Jinping’s “Healthy China” blueprint.

Average life expectancy in 2015 was 76.3 years. Raising it to 79 over the ensuing 10 years was a huge achievement, given China’s population and the socio-economic challenges of the Covid-19 pandemic.

At the same time, the population has declined for three consecutive years to 2024, for the first time in decades, and more than 21 per cent, or about 300 million people, are over 60 years of age.

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China is now ranked 10th for life expectancy among the Group of 20 countries and outperforms others in the same income basket. It is one of the very few that reports improvements every year. This is largely attributable to a combination of investment in public healthcare, poverty alleviation programmes and improved health awareness among the population.

Looking ahead, rising life expectancy presents numerous opportunities for China as well as the challenges of a huge ageing population. Artificial intelligence and robotics are transforming the workforce landscape, enabling people to extend their working years. While automation may displace certain jobs, it also raises demand for elderly care services.

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This shift leads to a growing investment in facilities and infrastructure catering to the ageing population, often referred to as the “silver economy”.

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