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Opinion
Why China won’t ban housing presales outright
Popular as the move might be, Beijing is trying to unwind the debt-fuelled property growth model without inviting another financial crisis
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David Tingxuan Zhang is a macroeconomics and policy analyst at Trivium China, where he focuses on China's real estate market, local government finances and US-China relations.
Late August marked something of a watershed moment for China’s embattled property sector, now in its sixth year of decline. It began with Chinese courts kicking off proceedings to liquidate the onshore business of China Evergrande Group – the collapsed property giant that came to epitomise China’s property debt bubble – and sentencing its founder Hui Ka-yan to life imprisonment over financial crimes.
An unusually coordinated series of official announcements followed in days. The central bank, housing ministry and financial regulators each issued new rules governing how future property development would be financed.
The choreography around these actions sent a message of its own: out with the old and in with the new. Beijing was moving to close the chapter on the property sector’s leverage-driven financing model while laying the groundwork for a healthier replacement, described by regulators as the “new property development model”.
High on regulators’ chopping block were housing presales – the long-standing practice, now widely reviled by homebuyers, of paying for flats years before they are actually built.
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