Advertisement
Science
ChinaScience

Do US military bases bring violence to the Philippines – and possibly other countries?

  • Chinese research focusing on the Philippines has found a link between the presence of US overseas military bases and domestic conflicts
  • But experts have challenged the findings, saying the US presence has a minimal impact on the local political situation

Reading Time:4 minutes
Why you can trust SCMP
21
A study has looked at the US military presence in the Philippines and found a link between it and an increased number of domestic conflicts. Photo: US Navy
Ray Jia
The presence of US overseas military bases has significantly increased the possibility of domestic armed conflicts in the Philippines – and potentially other countries – according to a study by Chinese researchers.

But some experts have challenged their conclusions.

The research team from Tsinghua University in Beijing published a paper outlining their analysis in the Quarterly Journal of International Politics, a Chinese-language academic publication.

Advertisement

They found a link between the presence of the US military – quantified by the number and location of military bases in the Philippines – and potential conflicts within a certain geographical grid.

Four analytical models were developed to try to prove the hypothesis that “the possibility of politically violent conflicts in an area and its surrounding areas will increase if US military base(s) are present”.

Advertisement

Researchers also charted the frequency of political violence in the Philippines from 1989 to 2014 with changes in the number of US bases.

Advertisement
Select Voice
Choose your listening speed
Get through articles 2x faster
1.25x
250 WPM
Slow
Average
Fast
1.25x