What are Beijing’s plans for Taiwan after Ukraine shock? ‘Two sessions’ may offer clues
Analysts say Beijing is ‘preoccupied’ with the economy this year and will keep up its carrot and stick approach to Taiwan reunification

A much-cited prediction is an internal US military memo from two years ago, sent by a four-star US Air Force general to the officers under his command.
“I hope I am wrong. My gut tells me we will fight in 2025,” General Mike Minihan, head of Air Mobility Command, wrote in January 2023.
With leadership elections due in both Taiwan and the US in 2024, Washington would be “distracted”, giving Beijing an opening to make a move, Minihan said.
However, the year’s biggest geopolitical surprise so far has been on the Ukrainian front, with President Volodymyr Zelensky being told by an angry US President Donald Trump that Kyiv had to accept a deal with Moscow or be abandoned by the United States.