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US-China relations
ChinaDiplomacy

Will warming Arctic trigger further chill in US-China relations or bring them closer?

The prospect of opening up new sea lanes presents both challenges and opportunities for the rival powers, analysts say

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Illustration: Davies Christian
Orange Wang

US President Donald Trump’s landmark visit to China comes as the Iran war disrupts global energy supplies, fuels economic uncertainty and adds fresh strain to Washington-Beijing ties. In the latest part of a series examining how rivalry, interdependence and geopolitical crises are reshaping the relationship between the two powers, we look at the Arctic as an arena for competition.

The Arctic is heating up, both physically and in terms of geopolitics.

As Arctic warming accelerates and sea ice declines to record or near-record lows, the region is becoming more accessible for shipping and resource extraction – something that also fuels great power rivalry.

The competition between China and the United States in the polar region is expected to intensify, but analysts said “functional” cooperation would still be necessary and may yet prove more important.

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