Advertisement

China ‘not dreading’ Trump 2.0, but reforms will decide who wins big power game

US-China ties to ‘get rockier’, Chinese political scientist Yan Xuetong warns, but also sees Trump term benefiting China ‘in several ways’

Reading Time:3 minutes
Why you can trust SCMP
35
President Xi Jinping welcomes then counterpart Donald Trump to Beijing in 2017. Trump will be inaugurated as US president for a second time on January 20. Photo: Reuters
Orange Wangin Beijing

China is “not dreading” Donald Trump’s return to the White House and might actually benefit in several ways despite fears of “rockier” times ahead, a noted Chinese political scientist has said.

Advertisement
How the rivalry turns out will depend on reforms at home and whether China can “do a better job” of it, according to Yan Xuetong, dean of the institute of international relations at Tsinghua University.

This would also determine whether China could narrow the “power gap” with the United States, Yan wrote in an article for Foreign Affairs on Friday.

03:12

Chinese leader Xi tells US President Biden he is ‘ready to work’ with Donald Trump

Chinese leader Xi tells US President Biden he is ‘ready to work’ with Donald Trump

The relationship was going to “get rockier” over the next four years, Yan warned, with the US president-elect’s rhetoric and cabinet choices showing a resolve to double down on the hardline approach towards China seen during his first term in office.

Still, China had “learned a great deal” from his first stint, giving it the confidence to face any tensions during the second Trump administration, Yan argued, while all but ruling out the likelihood of a military clash.

“[Trump] will soon arrive in the White House with the intention of containing China, but Chinese leaders are not dreading his return,” he wrote.

Advertisement

With less than a month to go for Trump’s inauguration on January 20, China-US relations are widely expected to enter a new period of uncertainty. Much of the rest of the world is also bracing for the return of Trump and his “America first” agenda to the Oval Office.

Advertisement