What does Brazilian presidential run-off hold for ties with top trading partner China?
- Incumbent Bolsonaro, known as the ‘Trump of the tropics’, expected to distance himself from Beijing
- Left-wing challenger Lula could strengthen bilateral ties and partnerships in the BRICS bloc

Brazil’s presidential election run-off at the end of this month between left-winger Lui Inacio Lula da Silva and far-right incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro could shake up the country’s relationship with China, its top trading partner.
Lula, who will turn 77 three days before the October 30 run-off election, visited China in 2004 with more than 450 businessmen, laying the foundations for a thriving economic partnership. Bilateral trade hit a record US$135 billion last year, rising for a fourth consecutive year despite the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic.
But China’s relationship with Brazil has been frosty under Bolsonaro’s watch since 2019 due to tensions over China’s economic dominance and the origins of Covid-19.
During the election campaign in 2018, Bolsonaro accused China of attempting to deindustrialise Brazil and complained that it was “buying Brazil, instead of buying from Brazil”.