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US-China trade war
Opinion
Opinion
Ankit Panda

How many personal truces between Xi and Trump will it take to resolve the trade war?

  • Presidents used their close friendship to get the stalled talks back on track but nothing really changed in Osaka, Ankit Panda says

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Presidents Trump and Xi used their close personal ties to get the stalled trade talks back on track. Photo: Reuters
Ankit Panda is an Adjunct Senior Fellow in the Defense Posture Project at the Federation of American Scientists, a Senior Editor at The Diplomat, an online magazine on Asia-Pacific affairs, and a Contributing Editor at War on the Rocks.

How many times can Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Donald Trump agree to a personal truce before things turn sour again? At their meeting on the sidelines of the Group of 20 summit in Osaka, the two men agreed to a resumption of the stalled trade negotiations but failed to come to any kind of grand bargain or deal.

To create a better environment for the talks, Trump agreed not to go ahead with his threat to impose new tariffs on about US$300 billion worth of Chinese imports, but details of what else was agreed in Japan remain elusive. The meeting did, however, represent a watershed moment in the progression of the trade war.

The outcome won’t delight global markets but it should prevent a major reversal of the slowly improving sentiment since May. Though after their 80-minute meeting – held exactly seven days before the 12-month anniversary of the start of the trade war on July 6 – Trump and Xi are no closer to settling it.

One of the most important outcomes of the G20 encounter concerns the fate of Chinese tech giant Huawei. Trump has taken a conciliatory approach, allowing the sale of US components to continue while reviewing the export control measures that had been announced some weeks earlier.

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