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Malaysia election: Umno unlikely to win clear majority as glut of candidates risks splitting vote, pollster says

  • A local pollster said it was ‘possible to imagine’ that no single coalition would attain a large enough plurality in the polls to form a government
  • Umno is unlikely to get a strong parliamentary majority, analysts said, and its Barisan Nasional coalition will probably have to form new alliances

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Ismail Sabri Yaakob, Barisan Nasional’s candidate for prime minister, gestures as he arrives at a nomination centre in Bera, Pahang, to submit his nomination papers on Saturday. Photo: Reuters
Malaysia’s general election will witness more than 210 multi-cornered contests for parliamentary seats, raising the possibility that fresh alliances would be needed to form a new government.

More than 940 candidates will vie for 222 seats in the November 19 vote, with only nine one-to-one contests, according to data from the Election Commission.

Several constituencies will see five-cornered fights, with the urban seat of Batu in Kuala Lumpur is set for a contest between 10 contenders, the highest in the country.

Opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim (centre) reacts after filing his nomination to contest in Malaysia’s general election at Tambun, Perak, on Saturday. Photo: Reuters
Opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim (centre) reacts after filing his nomination to contest in Malaysia’s general election at Tambun, Perak, on Saturday. Photo: Reuters

A crowded field involving the three main coalitions, tens of parties and a record 108 independent candidates will add to the challenges posed by the influx of millions of young voters who are voting for the first time.

There is little data on their loyalties, making it difficult to gauge if Prime Minister Ismail Sabri Yaakob’s Umno party, a leading member of the Barisan Nasional (National Front) alliance, will garner more votes from the ethnic Malay majority.

“Umno’s job has become a lot harder with the addition of younger voters who are not fixated on political parties,” said Ibrahim Suffian, co-founder of the Merdeka Center for Opinion Research. The emergence of new nationalist coalition Perikatan Nasional “is adding to Umno’s problems as it is providing the same guarantee as Umno – to protect Malay rights,” he said.

Perikatan Nasional could draw votes away from Umno, and benefit Pakatan Harapan, the main opposition alliance led by 75-year-old Anwar Ibrahim, he said.
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