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Opinion | How Germany is reshaping the world in era of US-China rivalry

  • Under Olaf Scholz, Germany has moved away from a passive ‘change through trade’ approach to take a more active role in global affairs
  • Few countries are better-positioned than Germany to promote a constructive, collaborative global order against the backdrop of intensifying superpower rivalry

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German Chancellor Olaf Scholz (right) and Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jnr brief the media after a meeting at the chancellery in Berlin on March 12. During Scholz’s tenure, Germany has steadily moved away from focusing exclusively on economic concerns and seeking more global influence. Photo: AP
“We want to do whatever we can to help settle tensions in a peaceful manner,” German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said of the South China Sea territorial disputes while standing next to Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jnr.
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“This is about adhering to international law, ensuring the freedom of navigation. We are working to ensure that the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea is being adhered to by all its parties,” Scholz added, emphasising the utmost importance of de-escalation and the code of conduct negotiations for the South China Sea.
Crucially, Scholz also referred to the 2016 arbitral tribunal award, which invalidated China’s expansive claims in adjacent waters. He made it clear that he believes it “to be very important that each and every one adheres to the legislation in place”.
During his state visit to Berlin, Marcos made it clear he had “no choice” but to defend his country’s sovereign rights in the area. But the Filipino leader also clarified that he was not just rejecting any proposals China made and that diplomacy was still his preferred option.
Scholz, who hosted three Southeast Asian leaders this month, at once positioned Germany as a global leader by expressing support for fellow democracies such as the Philippines, as well as underscoring the importance of regional diplomacy and international law in resolving conflicts in Asia. However, he steered clear of directly criticising China or signalling any alignment with the US “integrated deterrence” strategy against Beijing.
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If anything, Scholz is expected to visit Beijing next month to further buttress Sino-German economic cooperation as well as exercise constructive diplomacy in areas of geopolitical divergence. Germany, now the world’s third-largest economy, is signalling its preference for a different approach to global diplomacy that seeks to both stabilise and transcend the US-China rivalry.
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