Opinion | For more babies, China must ensure its population policy is fit for the modern woman
- Highly educated and with many options before them, young women will no longer accept sacrificing their income while suffering the double burden of a job and housework
- The government should initiate policies that reflect society’s changing values if it wants to raise the fertility rate
What does a gender-critical economics perspective suggest about China’s falling fertility rate? For starters, the growing literature on women’s labour-market outcomes shows that bearing a child can have significant negative effects on future employment prospects and salary.
This “parenthood penalty” is usually better understood to be a “motherhood penalty”, since it falls almost exclusively on women. The data makes it clear that women with children work and earn less than women without children, with some economists putting the parenthood penalty at around 20 per cent of income.
Taking that figure as a benchmark, economists Yaohui Zhao, Xiaobo Zhang and I looked into the lifetime income losses associated with childbirth in China, and found that they total around US$78,000.
Previously, the YuWa Population Research Institute examined the costs of childbearing in China – from rising formula prices and housing rents to education-related expenses – and estimated that the bill from birth to the age of 18 comes to around US$66,000. That is 6.9 times China’s per capita GDP, a ratio much higher than in the United States, France or Germany.