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Signs point to a Chinese stock market turnaround after two hard years
- Glimmer of hope as China eases its Covid-19 policy and issues a rescue plan for the property sector – but investors must be realistic about the pace of reopening and recovery
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Tai Hui is chief market strategist for the Asia-Pacific at JP Morgan Asset Management.
Recent policy announcements from the Chinese authorities on both Covid-19 policy and extending liquidity to the real estate market are not magic wands that yield immediate results. Patience is key as we await economic recovery. But this could be a critical turning point after the disappointing market performance in the past two years.
The Chinese equity market has been hampered by internal and external factors in the past two years. The economic slowdown in 2020 following the Covid-19 pandemic was by design, to avoid overheating. Yet this coincided with a rapid change in the regulatory environment in the technology sector, and tougher financial rules for real estate developers.
Then, in the second quarter of this year, stringent city lockdowns further dampened consumer and business confidence. All this has strained the economy. On the external front, the war in Ukraine, the risk of some Chinese companies being delisted from US exchanges and the tense US-China relationship have dampened international investor sentiment.
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