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How the coronavirus and US-China conflict are driving Beijing’s domestic focus in the new five-year plan

  • China has moved away from its ‘reform and opening up’ approach and turned to domestic development with a new emphasis on self-reliance, technology and quality growth
  • The shifting geopolitical landscape and uncertainty over domestic and international consumer demand in a post-pandemic world suggest a bumpy road ahead

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Pedestrians pass by the Communist Party logo and the slogan “Party building leadership” in Beijing on October 29. China says it will promote technological self-reliance in its latest five-year plan while still opening further to trade. Photo: AP

As a centrally planned economy, China has followed a carefully calibrated long-term strategy and made significant breakthroughs in the global system. Therefore, its new five-year plan has attracted much attention.

The Communist Party concluded the fifth plenum of the 19th Central Committee last week and unveiled the key components of the 14th five-year plan. As the first detailed strategic road map under the new “dual circulation” strategy, it provides a policy framework to analyse the Chinese economy.
In summing up the previous five-year plan in a few keywords, “Made in China 2025” should be highlighted. This is a national strategic plan to develop the country’s manufacturing sector, issued by Premier Li Keqiang and his cabinet in May 2015. As part of its 13th five-year plan, China aimed to move away from being merely the “world’s factory” and producing cheap, low-tech goods through lower labour costs and supply chain advantages.
However, China’s aggressive, ambitious approach has drawn criticism as many saw that Beijing was targeting key technology and sectors in other countries. This has generated widespread discomfort and became a catalyst for a rise in anti-China sentiment in the US and elsewhere. To help ease such concerns, Beijing has tried to tone down its ambitions for the programme.

While China might need to improve the way it implements its strategies, Beijing still favours national planning to manage the world’s second-largest economy. As such, one should pay careful attention to its five-year plans to gauge policy priorities from Chinese policymakers’ perspective.

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What happened at the Chinese Communist Party’s major policy meeting, the fifth plenum?

What happened at the Chinese Communist Party’s major policy meeting, the fifth plenum?

There are three keywords in the new five-year plan. The first is “self-reliance”. During this five-year plan, China will speed up its promotion of a new development pattern in which domestic and foreign markets boost each other while the domestic market remains the focus.

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