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Taiwan
Opinion
Gregory Mitrovich

Opinion | US must show China its strategic ambiguity on Taiwan is backed by serious deterrent

  • Any shift away from the current US policy of declaratory ambiguity – by stating clearly it will defend Taiwan in case of an attack – will be highly dangerous and must be avoided
  • Instead, the US must repair its now fraying deterrent threat and build up its capabilities to mount such a defence

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Illustration: Craig Stephens
Tensions within East Asia have risen to dangerous levels in recent months, starting with Hong Kong’s national security law ending its autonomous status within China, and including a deadly confrontation between Chinese and Indian troops in the Himalayan mountains, with both sides signalling willingness to escalate the crisis, even if it leads to war.
However, it is China’s escalating threats towards Taiwan that have many fearing a war with the United States. China’s state media have issued dire warnings that China is prepared to invade the island and even threatened the life of Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-Wen should she violate China’s Anti-Secession Law.
Most recently, China responded to an American government delegation to Taiwan by flying dozens of air force bomber and fighter sorties across the sensitive median line that has long separated Taiwan from the mainland.
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In response, Richard Haas, president of the Council on Foreign Relations, argues that the US should respond to China’s provocations by ending its decades-long policy of “strategic ambiguity”, and announce its willingness to defend Taiwan against a Chinese attack. The US would, however, remain committed to the one-China policy and oppose Taiwanese secession.

01:22

Taiwan posts video of troops ‘fending off attack from mainland’ amid worsening cross-strait tensions

Taiwan posts video of troops ‘fending off attack from mainland’ amid worsening cross-strait tensions

China experts have strongly criticised this article, warning that such a shift in US policy would destabilise the region and even bring on the attack it was designed to prevent.

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