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Opinion | Why a coronavirus-fuelled revolution in China is unlikely, despite Western commentators’ fondest hopes

  • Contrary to the Western media narrative, health professionals have praised the Chinese government’s response to the outbreak
  • Despite some public anger, most Chinese people are pragmatic, support their political system and hope life returns to normal soon

Reading Time:3 minutes
Why you can trust SCMP
Chinese paramilitary police officers wearing face masks stand outside the headquarters of the People's Bank of China in Beijing on February 7. While some analysts have said China’s economy could be adversely affected by the coronavirus, the Chinese central bank has already injected a large amount of liquidity into the system. Photo: EPA-EFE

It’s that time again when Western analysts, commentators and think tanks alike stare into their crystal balls and foretell widening cracks in the Chinese state. A pandemic of misinformation and ill-informed predictions is spreading online.

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Many analysts are quick to point out the shortcomings of China’s response to the coronavirus outbreak and have raced to predict how this event will question faith in China’s leadership.

Look at Time’s latest cover, featuring Chinese President Xi Jinping wearing a face mask with the ominous title “China’s Test” or the conclusion of an opinion piece in The Wall Street Journal: “don’t rule out a second Wuhan revolution”.

Melodramatic headlines and sensationalist reports are intended to damage China’s global image and spread scepticism of the nation’s future. We should refrain from judgment, rumour-mongering or damning long-term predictions and recognise that, when it comes to hardship, China tends to buckle down and deal with it.

While some have said that draconian measures of locking down entire cities could have been avoided had the Chinese government released information about the coronavirus earlier, Beijing needed to implement an evidence-based response and did so just a month after the first reports. The steps the government took within that time frame have been praised by many health officials around the world.

This is not to say it was a perfect response. Dealing with a highly contagious new virus, at a time when many of China’s 1.4 billion people are on the move for the Lunar New Year holiday, was challenging. However, the reaction was faster and more stringent than during influenza outbreaks of the past.

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