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Israel
Opinion
Mario Mancuso

Israel has reached ‘peak China’ – US pressure and domestic concerns mean relations won’t improve from here

  • US-China rivalry, Israel’s growing concerns over security and technology, plus its disapproval of Beijing’s ties to Iran, mean flourishing Sino-Israeli relations have nowhere to go but down

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Illustration: Craig Stephens
Mario Mancuso is an international lawyer and senior visiting fellow at the Hudson Institute.
With elections now over and a nationalist, centre-right coalition poised to govern for the foreseeable future, expect Jerusalem to move to cool what has been a remarkable, decade-long Sino-Israeli romance. The change will not be immediate or obvious.

Instead, it will be cumulative and subtle. It will unfold over the next 12-18 months and it will seek to selectively blunt Beijing’s investment and diplomatic push into Israel and the region, even as Jerusalem tries to build upon the positive aspects of its economic relationship with Beijing. Israel has reached “peak China”. 

Like other peak narratives when they first emerge, such a shift by Israel seems contrary to the zeitgeist. From Tel Aviv to Haifa to the Negev, signs of a booming Sino-Israeli economic, technological and cultural collaboration are everywhere. In the last decade alone, the annual value of Israel-China merchandise trade has doubled to well over US$10 billion.

There are now several bilateral governmental dialogues aimed at forging technology collaboration; numerous academic and cultural exchange programmes; and substantial and increasing Chinese direct and indirect (through venture capital funds) investment in Israeli start-ups and companies – especially in the technology sector.

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