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Paris climate summit 2015
Opinion

China can lead the climate change battle, but it needs the world on its side

Li Shuo and Tom Baxter say China is well-placed to fill the vacuum left by Trump’s America in tackling climate change, but it must ensure investments in developing economies are directed towards clean energy and win the support of the global community

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Li Shuo and Tom Baxter say China is well-placed to fill the vacuum left by Trump’s America in tackling climate change, but it must ensure investments in developing economies are directed towards clean energy and win the support of the global community
Li ShuoandTom Baxter
Donald Trump’s jump into isolation gives Beijing one more reason to march forward in its emerging climate leadership role. Illustration: Craig Stephens
Donald Trump’s jump into isolation gives Beijing one more reason to march forward in its emerging climate leadership role. Illustration: Craig Stephens
The world of climate diplomacy flipped on its head last week. US President Donald Trump’s abandoning of the Paris Agreement, foreshadowed by his tweets, was both a rejection of the global community’s consensus to tackle one of the greatest dangers facing humanity, and a leap into geopolitical isolation for America.

In response, China was keen to reaffirm its pledge to the Paris deal: Trump’s jump into isolation seemed to give Beijing one more reason to march forward in its emerging climate leadership role.

How did China, so often synonymous with pollution and environmental disaster, get here? And what must it do next?

How did China, so often synonymous with pollution and environmental disaster, get here?

Trump’s decision has left an enormous vacuum in climate politics. As the world’s second-largest emitter of greenhouse gases – contributing 18 per cent – the US will now sit outside the global climate consensus. Its significant diplomatic clout in pushing for strong global action will also now be absent from future climate talks.

Watch: Anger in the US at Trump’s withdrawal from Paris accord

It is this leadership vacuum that China is aiming to fill. Looking back over less than a decade of climate diplomacy, China’s incredible transformation on this front can hardly be overstated. At the failed Copenhagen climate talks in 2009, China was an obstinate road block. On to Paris in 2015 and China, along with the US, was seen playing a progressive and indispensable role.
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But just as no one in 2009 could have imagined the role China would play years later in Paris, so in 2015 no one could have imagined that China would step up to global ­climate leadership.

China watchers have long ­labelled the country as “leadership allergic”. But this is precisely what we saw last week.

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As Trump’s decision approached last Thursday, China was one of the first countries to reaffirm its commitment to the Paris accord, with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs proclaiming China a “protector and promoter” of the agreement. A few hours later, the commitment was amplified by Premier Li Keqiang (李克強) in a joint press conference with German Chancellor Angela Merkel in Berlin.
Premier Li Keqiang speaks at a joint press conference with German Chancellor Angela Merkel in Berlin, on June 1. Photo: EPA
Premier Li Keqiang speaks at a joint press conference with German Chancellor Angela Merkel in Berlin, on June 1. Photo: EPA
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