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CATL’s stellar run and record premium come up against doubling of stock supply

The availability of 76 million CATL shares in Hong Kong following the expiry of a six-month lock-up period could impede the gains

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CATL’s Hong Kong shares command a 20 per cent premium to its Shenzhen stock, the highest among the 167 dual-listed companies. Photo: Shutterstock
Zhang Shidongin Shanghai

The spectacular gain in Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) shares since its Hong Kong listing faces a reality check this week: a twofold increase in its free-float shares will test investors’ risk appetite.

Some 76 million shares of the Ningde, Fujian province-based company will be available for trading on the city’s exchange from Thursday following the expiry of a six-month lock-up period. The shares, which are held by cornerstone investors like Kuwait Investment Authority and UBS Asset Management, account for almost half of CATL’s HK$41 billion (US$5.3 billion) offering, the biggest in Hong Kong this year.

A sudden burst in the supply of shares could slow down or even erase some of the 66 per cent gain in CATL’s shares since its Hong Kong debut on May 20. Investment banks including JPMorgan Chase recommend buying the company’s mainland-listed shares and selling the Hong Kong stock to position for possible turbulence. CATL is one of the few dual-listed Chinese companies whose Hong Kong shares trade at a premium to their yuan-traded counterparts. It also has the widest such price gap among all the dual-listed companies.
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Global investors have been chasing CATL’s Hong Kong shares amid a revival in the city’s initial public offering (IPO) market and on prospects of rising demand for the company’s lithium batteries that power electric vehicles (EVs) and energy-storage equipment. CATL is the world’s biggest manufacturer of EV batteries, supplying the likes of Tesla, Xiaomi and Volkswagen.

CATL’s Qilin Battery is displayed at the Auto China exhibition in April 2024. Photo: Shutterstock
CATL’s Qilin Battery is displayed at the Auto China exhibition in April 2024. Photo: Shutterstock

JPMorgan said the expiry of the lock-up period would serve as a catalyst for narrowing the discrepancy between CATL’s stocks trading in Hong Kong and Shenzhen. Demand for the Hong Kong-traded shares may wane because of valuation concerns and their outperformance since the start of trading, according to the US bank.

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