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Will Covid-19 chills and slumping economy keep China from becoming world’s largest luxury goods market?
- A confluence of macroeconomic factors appears to have stirred up an increasing amount of self reflection among China’s young middle-class shoppers and suppressed their appetite for spending
- Analysts at Bain & Company, Oliver Wyman and home-grown consultancy Yaok Institute, however, believe that China is still on a path to becoming the world’s largest luxury goods market
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![A Prada store in Beijing. Premium consumer and luxury goods brands have cut an 18 per cent year-on-year growth forecast on average for their mainland China businesses to 3 per cent, according to consultancy Oliver Wyman. Photo: Reuters](https://cdn.i-scmp.com/sites/default/files/styles/1020x680/public/d8/images/canvas/2022/09/02/72c92286-1bb3-496a-89ca-1009877e9151_f1630335.jpg?itok=36xeMD5n&v=1662089273)
Simon Fu, a 32-year-old Shanghai fashionista, used to hang out at the city’s most popular luxury shopping centre every week before Covid-19 struck.
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This year, he has not been to Plaza 66 even once.
In early 2020, he returned from Tokyo with suitcases full of luxury fashion items, a habit cultivated and shared by most Chinese consumers of luxury products shopping abroad to take advantage of tax arbitrage.
But then lockdowns and work-from-home arrangements kicked in, and a realisation dawned on Fu – there were no occasions to show off his expensive outfits.
This realisation occurred in parallel with concerns about a slumping economy and the rising unemployment around him.
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