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Rate rise expectations mount in Hong Kong property market following Fed chief’s comments

But property consultancy Knight Frank says likelihood of near-term rise in prime rate by city’s note-issuing banks remains low

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Advertisements for flats in a real estate agency’s window in Kowloon Bay last month. Photo: Karma Lo
Chris Tsang
With expectations of a quarter-percentage-point increase in the US Federal Reserve’s target interest rate increasing following comments by Fed chairman Kevin Warsh last week, the Hong Kong property market is bracing for its potential impact.

Following Warsh’s comments at the Jackson Hole economic symposium on Friday, the CME FedWatch tool, which tracks Fed funds futures contracts, indicated that expectations of a rate rise in the United States this month had doubled, with markets pricing in a 60 per cent likelihood.

However, global property consultancy Knight Frank said in a news release that the likelihood of note-issuing banks in Hong Kong raising the prime rate in the near term was low – projecting it would remain unchanged or rise by a maximum of one-eighth of a percentage point.

In Hong Kong, the prime lending rate – the lowest rate of interest that banks charge commercial borrowers – remains a key reference rate for mortgage pricing and borrowing costs. Analysts said more homebuyers were now tending to opt for fixed-rate mortgages, with interest rates that remained unchanged even if the Hong Kong interbank offered rate (Hibor) or the prime rate rose.

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