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Concrete Analysis
The Greater Bay Area commercial property market grew despite Covid-19. It will come into its own once the pandemic is brought under control
- The bay area property market has continued to grow, especially in certain submarkets and subsectors
- When Covid-19 is completely under control, commercial real estate assets in the zone’s mainland cities are expected to continue to be sought after by investors
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Martin Wong Shiu-kei, director and head of research and consultancy of Greater China at Knight Frank.
The Greater Bay Area has become one of the most dynamic regions in China since the release of the State Council’s plan for the development zone in February 2019.
The area, together with the New York Bay Area, the San Francisco Bay Area and the Tokyo Bay Area, is among the four most significant bay areas in the world. Their strategic positions are highly important for their respective national economic development plans.
Over the past 20 months, China and the rest of the world have been affected by the Covid-19 pandemic to various degrees. With travel restrictions still in place, there has been limited movement of people globally, as well as less economic activity and capital flows. Despite reduced global economic activity, the bay area property market has continued to grow, especially in certain submarkets and subsectors.
During the epidemic last year, the total transaction volume for commercial real estate in all 11 Greater Bay Area cities reached 136.6 billion yuan (US$21.2 billion), even if it was down 21.2 per cent year on year. However, excluding Hong Kong and Macau, looking just at the nine mainland Chinese cities that are part of the bay area, there was an increase of 26.9 per cent on an annual basis. Investors focused mainly on the Guangzhou and Shenzhen markets during the epidemic. The two anchor cities together accounted for 87.9 per cent of the total transaction volume, while third ranked Foshan accounted for only 5.8 per cent.
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