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China looks to carbon capture and hydrogen to push aviation, shipping, power plants, heavy industries towards 2060 target

  • Nine of every 10 vehicles on China’s roads will have to run on non-fossil fuels, while half of aircraft will fly on green hydrogen to put China on track to cutting carbon emissions by 75 to 85 per cent, leaving the residual amount to be offset by removals
  • 90 per cent of heavy industries will need to be retrofitted with carbon capture facilities

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The fourth part of a series on China’s carbon neutrality goal examines the heavy lifting that must be done by the country’s biggest carbon dioxide emitters to reach that target by 2060. Earlier instalments of the series are here, here and here.

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Airlines, shipping, buildings materials, chemicals and power producers, the biggest emitters of carbon dioxide, are expected to do the heaviest lifting over the next four decades for China to meet its carbon neutral goal by 2060.

Nine of every 10 vehicles on China’s roads will have to run on non-fossil fuel, while half of the aircraft fly on green hydrogen and 90 per cent of heavy industries will need to be retrofitted with carbon capture facilities to put the nation on track to cut carbon emission by 75 to 85 per cent, leaving the residual amount to be offset by removals, according to the Boston Consulting Group (BCG).

“Some of the technologies required, such as carbon capture and storage and [emission-free] hydrogen fuel are not [commercially] ready yet,” said Thomas Palme, who leads BCG’s social impact practice in China, adding that it can only be possible “with concerted effort and investment.”

The challenges underscore the technological and financial hurdles that must be overcome for China to deliver on President Xi Jinping’s surprise pledge in September before the United Nations. If all the pieces can come together, the result could be a giant leap in technological capability for China to the top of global competitiveness, as the world grapples with strategies and policies to deal with climate change, one of the gravest problems to confront humanity.
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Smoke belching from a coal-fuelled power station near Datong, in China's Shanxi province on November 19, 2015. Shanxi, the largest coal-producing region in China, frequently ranks top among provinces with the worst air pollution. Photo: AFP
Smoke belching from a coal-fuelled power station near Datong, in China's Shanxi province on November 19, 2015. Shanxi, the largest coal-producing region in China, frequently ranks top among provinces with the worst air pollution. Photo: AFP

China’s coal and gas-fired power plants are responsible for almost half of the nation’s carbon dioxide emission, while heavy industries – including the world’s largest capacity for steel, aluminium, petrochemicals and cement – contribute one-third, BCG said.

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